An Elected Thai P.m. (Press, 30 July 1988)

General Prem's recent decision not to seek another term as Prime Minister of Thailand marks a significant shift in the country's political landscape, particularly with the nomination of Mr Chatichai Choonhavan as a potential successor to form the next government. If Mr Chatichai, an elected member of Parliament, secures the Prime Ministership, he would be the first representative elected post the military coup of 1976 to hold the office. This would signify a move away from military dominance in Thai politics, which has characterised the political climate for many years, especially since General Prem took office in 1980. Although General Prem was not an elected politician, his military credentials made him a stabilising figure for the military, a key force in Thai governance. The context of General Prem's resignation is also notable; he had dissolved Parliament in April 1988 amid allegations of being homosexual, which prompted speculation regarding his future and possible successors. General Chaovalit Yongchaiyut, the Army commander, was thought to be a likely candidate, yet General Prem's continued presence in leadership defied expectations until his abrupt announcement not to run last Sunday. The relationship between the military and civilian government in Thailand remains tense, with the military viewing politicians as often impotent and squabbling. General Prem himself has navigated this turbulent terrain, surviving two coup attempts during his tenure. It is widely understood that any future Prime Minister must tread carefully to prevent military intervention. Mr Chatichai faces the challenge of maintaining civilian leadership in a landscape where the military's influence is substantial and enduring. The looming retirement of General Chaovalit in September raises questions about the military's future involvement in politics. Speculation suggests he may enter the political arena, which adds another layer of complexity to Mr Chatichai's potential premiership. The presiding sentiment among military members, as expressed by a candidate during the election campaign, reflects a deep-seated belief that military oversight of government is inevitable. Mr Chatichai will have to work to prevent any military attempts to usurp power that could undermine his authority as Prime Minister, reflecting a continuing struggle between military and civilian rule in Thailand.

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