Many New Voters (Press, 13 November 1975)

On 13 November 1975, a news report discussed the shifting political landscape in the region north of Wellington, particularly highlighting the potential for significant electoral changes due to population growth in housing and industry. This growth is expected to generate a number of new voters, possibly more than any other region in New Zealand. Specifically, Porirua would require a swing of 4,500 votes to favour the National Party, while the Kapiti electorate, which includes affluent and rapidly developing suburbs, appears to be more unpredictable. The Kapiti seat, formerly part of the Otaki constituency, was represented by Labour's Mr. F. D. O’Flynn in 1972, who won with a narrow majority of only 706 votes. Nine towns in this coastal strip are experiencing rapid population growth, with the suburbs of Paremata, Plimmerton, Waikanae, and Pukerua Bay likely to increase their support for the National Party. Waikanae, in particular, is noted for its expensive holiday homes. Conversely, the growth of Waitangirua, located in the northern part of Porirua city, is expected to bolster Labour's stronghold, which saw it receive 1,231 votes compared to just 162 for National in the last election. The key to the upcoming elections lies with two fast-growing settlements, Paraparaumu and Raumati, which had previously voted narrowly for National. These suburbs are drawing in both new industries and residents, including retirees and commuters from Wellington. The performance of candidates in tapping into the uncommitted voter demographic will therefore be crucial. Mr. O'Flynn, a 56-year-old Queen’s Counsel, is contesting the seat again for Labour, while National is once again fielding Mr. B. E. Brill, a 35-year-old solicitor. Local issues are paramount, with residents concerned about rates, sewerage systems, and access to Wellington. Mr. O'Flynn gained favour for extending the commuter rail service from Paekakariki to Paraparaumu, as well as improvements to the highway connecting the suburbs. However, opposition concerning highway realignment and local sewage issues could hinder his campaign. A contentious debate is also ongoing regarding the future of Paraparaumu Airport. In Porirua, Labour's Dr. G. A. Wall, who won with a significant 4,399 vote majority in 1972, also faces potential losses due to a more competitive environment. The same National candidate, Mr. R. A. Doughty, is again running, but the rise of the Values Party candidate, Mrs. H. Smith, poses a significant threat. Mrs. Smith, now a respected Porirua city councillor, has gained strong recognition and support, particularly surrounding issues like abortion and homosexual law reform, which may appeal to disillusioned Labour voters. Despite these dynamics and discussions, Dr. Wall's large majority suggests he remains a favourite to retain his seat, bolstered by a strong base of conservative Labour supporters. The report underscores the significance of local issues and the evolving electoral sentiment that could result in notable shifts in voter behaviour in the forthcoming elections.

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